NBA Best Bets: Heat vs. Hornets Picks for October 26

Published 5:48 am Saturday, October 26, 2024

The Miami Heat (0-1) visit the Charlotte Hornets (1-1) in a matchup of Southeast Division teams at Spectrum Center, tipping off at 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, October 26, 2024. The Heat are 4.5-point favorites in the game, the first matchup between the teams this season.

For the best bets you can place on Saturday’s game, based on our computer predictions, see below.

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Heat vs. Hornets Game Info

  • When: Saturday, October 26, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
  • Where: Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina
  • TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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Heat vs. Hornets Best Bets

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Terry Rozier Over 15.5 PTS

  • Last season the Heat were at the 26th spot in the NBA scoring rankings (110.1 points per game), while the Hornets conceded the 22nd-fewest points (116.8 per game) in the league.
  • Last season the Heat averaged 6.7 fewer points (110.1 per game) than the Hornets conceded (116.8).

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LaMelo Ball Over 23.5 PTS

  • Charlotte had the NBA’s 28th-ranked offense (106.6 points per game) a season ago, while Miami was third-ranked on defense, conceding 108.4 points on average.
  • Charlotte put together a 20-19 record in games when it scored more than 108.4 points.

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Pick ATS: Hornets (+ 4.5)

  • Miami had 41 wins in 82 games against the spread last year.
  • Charlotte was 34-48-0 against the spread last season.
  • The Heat’s ATS record as 4.5-point favorites or greater was 10-13 last season.
  • The Hornets had an ATS record of 30-38 as underdogs of 4.5 points or greater last year.

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Pick OU:

Under (223.5)

  • The Heat and their opponents scored more than 223.5 points in 29 of 82 games last season.
  • The Hornets played 40 games last season that ended with a combined score over 223.5 points.
  • Miami games had an average of 220.7 points last season, 2.8 less than this game’s over/under.
  • The average number of points in Charlotte’s contests last year was 223.9, which is 0.4 fewer points than this game’s over/under.

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Moneyline Pick: Hornets (+155)

  • The Heat were the moneyline favorite 47 total times last season. They went 35-12 in those games.
  • The Hornets won 18, or 23.7%, of the 76 games they played as underdogs last season.
  • In games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -190 or shorter last year, Miami had a record of 17-5 (77.3%).
  • Last season, Charlotte won 15 of its 67 games, or 22.4%, when it was the underdog by at least +155 on the moneyline.
  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Heat have an implied win probability of 65.5%.

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