Saturday’s game features the East Tennessee State Buccaneers (9-7, 2-1 SoCon) and the Citadel Bulldogs (5-9, 0-3 SoCon) squaring off at Freedom Hall Civic Center in what is expected to be a lopsided matchup, with a projected 80-64 victory for heavily favored East Tennessee State according to our computer prediction. Tipoff is at 4:00 PM ET on January 11.

Based on our computer prediction, Citadel should cover the spread, which currently sits at 16.5. The two teams are projected to eclipse the 136.5 total.

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East Tennessee State vs. Citadel Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
• Time: 4:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Johnson City, Tennessee
• Venue: Freedom Hall Civic Center
• Line: East Tennessee State -16.5
• Point total: 136.5
• Moneyline (to win): East Tennessee State -2222, Citadel +980

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East Tennessee State vs. Citadel Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  East Tennessee State 80, Citadel 64

Spread & Total Prediction for East Tennessee State vs. Citadel

• Pick ATS: Citadel (+16.5)
• Pick OU: Over (136.5)

East Tennessee State is 4-9-0 against the spread this season compared to Citadel’s 4-6-0 ATS record. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Buccaneers are 6-7-0 and the Bulldogs are 5-5-0. The teams score 146.5 points per game, 10.0 more points than this matchup’s total. East Tennessee State is 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its last 10 games, while Citadel has gone 4-6 against the spread and 1-9 overall.

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East Tennessee State Performance Insights

• The Buccaneers average 75.4 points per game (176th in college basketball) while giving up 68.4 per contest (101st in college basketball). They have a +113 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by seven points per game.
• East Tennessee State is 108th in the country at 34.1 rebounds per game. That’s 3.7 more than the 30.4 its opponents average.
• East Tennessee State knocks down 9.4 three-pointers per game (55th in college basketball), 2.6 more than its opponents (6.8). It is shooting 36.3% from beyond the arc (71st in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 32.7%.
• The Buccaneers’ 97.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 153rd in college basketball, and the 88.2 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 108th in college basketball.
• East Tennessee State has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 10.9 per game (118th in college basketball action) while forcing 13 (101st in college basketball).

Citadel Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs have a -33 scoring differential, falling short by 2.4 points per game. They’re putting up 71.1 points per game, 272nd in college basketball, and are allowing 73.5 per outing to rank 238th in college basketball.
• The 34.3 rebounds per game Citadel accumulates rank 97th in the nation, 2.9 more than the 31.4 its opponents collect.
• Citadel makes 8.2 three-pointers per game (144th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.2. It shoots 30.5% from deep, and its opponents shoot 34.8%.
• Citadel has committed 13.2 turnovers per game (312th in college basketball), 2.5 more than the 10.7 it forces (282nd in college basketball).

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