Saturday’s contest between the East Tennessee State Buccaneers (18-12, 11-6 SoCon) and Citadel Bulldogs (5-23, 0-17 SoCon) at McAlister Field House has a projected final score of 76-63 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of heavily favored East Tennessee State, so expect a one-sided matchup. The game will start at 1 p.m. ET on March 1.

Based on our computer prediction, East Tennessee State is projected to cover the point spread (11.5) versus Citadel. The two teams are projected to exceed the 131.5 total.

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East Tennessee State vs. Citadel Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Charleston, South Carolina
• Venue: McAlister Field House
• Line: East Tennessee State -11.5
• Point total: 131.5
• Moneyline (to win): East Tennessee State -781, Citadel +530

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East Tennessee State vs. Citadel Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  East Tennessee State 76, Citadel 63

Spread & Total Prediction for East Tennessee State vs. Citadel

• Pick ATS: East Tennessee State (-11.5)
• Pick OU: Over (131.5)

East Tennessee State’s record against the spread this season is 13-14-0, and Citadel’s is 9-15-0. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Buccaneers are 12-15-0 and the Bulldogs are 13-11-0. The two teams score 138.8 points per game, 7.3 more points than this matchup’s total. In the past 10 contests, East Tennessee State has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall. Citadel has gone 3-7 against the spread and 0-10 overall in its last 10 matches.

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East Tennessee State Performance Insights

• The Buccaneers have a +170 scoring differential, topping opponents by 5.7 points per game. They’re putting up 72 points per game to rank 244th in college basketball and are giving up 66.3 per outing to rank 34th in college basketball.
• The 34.3 rebounds per game East Tennessee State averages rank 66th in the country, and are 3.6 more than the 30.7 its opponents pull down per outing.
• East Tennessee State connects on 8.5 three-pointers per game (94th in college basketball) at a 34.4% rate (149th in college basketball), compared to the 7.5 its opponents make while shooting 33.5% from deep.
• The Buccaneers’ 94.8 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 199th in college basketball, and the 87.4 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 46th in college basketball.
• East Tennessee State has committed 10.2 turnovers per game (80th in college basketball action), 2.2 fewer than the 12.4 it forces on average (91st in college basketball).

Citadel Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs have been outscored by 8.1 points per game (posting 66.8 points per game, 338th in college basketball, while allowing 74.9 per outing, 268th in college basketball) and have a -228 scoring differential.
• Citadel grabs 30.8 rebounds per game (252nd in college basketball) while allowing 33.4 per contest to opponents. It is outrebounded by 2.6 boards per game.
• Citadel makes 7.7 three-pointers per game (173rd in college basketball) at a 29.8% rate (348th in college basketball), compared to the 8.5 its opponents make, shooting 34% from deep.
• Citadel has come up short in the turnover battle by 1.5 per game, committing 11.8 (242nd in college basketball) while forcing 10.3 (282nd in college basketball).

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