Wednesday’s contest at Freedom Hall Civic Center has the East Tennessee State Buccaneers (17-12, 10-6 SoCon) matching up with the Mercer Bears (12-17, 5-11 SoCon) at 6:00 PM ET. Our computer prediction is a lopsided 80-67 victory, as our model heavily favors East Tennessee State.

Based on our computer prediction, East Tennessee State is a good bet to cover the spread, which is currently listed at 9.5. The two sides are projected to come in below the 147.5 total.

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East Tennessee State vs. Mercer Game Info & Odds

• Date: Wednesday, February 26, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Johnson City, Tennessee
• Venue: Freedom Hall Civic Center
• Line: East Tennessee State -9.5
• Point total: 147.5
• Moneyline (to win): East Tennessee State -450, Mercer +340

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East Tennessee State vs. Mercer Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  East Tennessee State 80, Mercer 67

Spread & Total Prediction for East Tennessee State vs. Mercer

• Pick ATS: East Tennessee State (-9.5)
• Pick OU: Under (147.5)

East Tennessee State has a 13-13-0 record against the spread this season compared to Mercer, who is 13-14-0 ATS. The Buccaneers are 12-14-0 and the Bears are 12-15-0 in terms of hitting the over. The two teams average 149.8 points per game, 2.3 more points than this matchup’s total. East Tennessee State is 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its past 10 games, while Mercer has gone 3-7 against the spread and 3-7 overall.

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East Tennessee State Performance Insights

• The Buccaneers are outscoring opponents by 5.8 points per game with a +169 scoring differential overall. They put up 72.4 points per game (231st in college basketball) and give up 66.6 per contest (45th in college basketball).
• East Tennessee State wins the rebound battle by 3.5 boards on average. It collects 34.1 rebounds per game, which ranks 71st in college basketball, while its opponents grab 30.6 per contest.
• East Tennessee State connects on 8.5 three-pointers per game (98th in college basketball) at a 34.5% rate (146th in college basketball), compared to the 7.4 per game its opponents make at a 33.4% rate.
• The Buccaneers rank 188th in college basketball with 95.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 53rd in college basketball defensively with 87.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• East Tennessee State has typically won the turnover battle this season, committing 10.2 per game (78th in college basketball action) while forcing 12.3 (101st in college basketball).

Mercer Performance Insights

• The Bears put up 77.4 points per game (90th in college basketball) while giving up 76.4 per outing (303rd in college basketball). They have a +29 scoring differential.
• Mercer ranks 27th in the country at 35.8 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 35.6 its opponents average.
• Mercer hits 8.3 three-pointers per game (113th in college basketball), 1.2 fewer than its opponents. It is shooting 32.1% from beyond the arc (289th in college basketball) and its opponents are shooting 34.3%.
• Mercer has committed 11.9 turnovers per game (252nd in college basketball) while forcing 12.6 (80th in college basketball).

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