Wednesday’s game that pits the East Tennessee State Buccaneers (7-6, 0-0 SoCon) versus the VMI Keydets (6-7, 0-0 SoCon) at Freedom Hall Civic Center should be a lopsided matchup based on our computer prediction, which projects a final score of 80-66 in favor of East Tennessee State, who is heavy favorites by our model. Tipoff is at 12:00 PM ET on January 1.

According to our computer prediction, VMI projects to cover the 15.5-point spread in its matchup versus East Tennessee State. The over/under has been set at 146.5, and the two teams are projected to fall short of that total.

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East Tennessee State vs. VMI Game Info & Odds

• Date: Wednesday, January 1, 2025
• Time: 12:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Johnson City, Tennessee
• Venue: Freedom Hall Civic Center
• Line: East Tennessee State -15.5
• Point total: 146.5
• Moneyline (to win): East Tennessee State -2000, VMI +980

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East Tennessee State vs. VMI Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  East Tennessee State 80, VMI 66

Spread & Total Prediction for East Tennessee State vs. VMI

• Pick ATS: VMI (+15.5)
• Pick OU: Under (146.5)

East Tennessee State has put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread this season, while VMI is 6-3-0. The Buccaneers have a 4-6-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Keydets have a record of 3-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams score 154.9 points per game, 8.4 more points than this matchup’s total. East Tennessee State is 4-6 against the spread and 5-5 overall over its last 10 contests, while VMI has gone 6-3 against the spread and 2-7 overall.

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East Tennessee State Performance Insights

• The Buccaneers have a +99 scoring differential, topping opponents by 7.6 points per game. They’re putting up 75 points per game to rank 204th in college basketball and are giving up 67.4 per contest to rank 89th in college basketball.
• East Tennessee State prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 3.5 boards. It is collecting 34.4 rebounds per game (117th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 30.9 per contest.
• East Tennessee State connects on 2.3 more threes per contest than the opposition, 8.8 (105th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.5.
• The Buccaneers score 95.7 points per 100 possessions (205th in college basketball), while allowing 86 points per 100 possessions (82nd in college basketball).
• East Tennessee State has committed 10.9 turnovers per game (125th in college basketball play), 2.3 fewer than the 13.2 it forces on average (93rd in college basketball).

VMI Performance Insights

• The Keydets’ +113 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 8.7 points per game) is a result of putting up 79.9 points per game (90th in college basketball) while allowing 71.2 per contest (185th in college basketball).
• The 34.5 rebounds per game VMI accumulates rank 107th in college basketball, four more than the 30.5 its opponents pull down.
• VMI makes 10.3 three-pointers per game (30th in college basketball) while shooting 34.4% from beyond the arc (157th in college basketball). It is making 1.5 more threes than its opponents, who drain 8.8 per game at 32.1%.
• VMI wins the turnover battle by 2.6 per game, committing 10.5 (79th in college basketball) while its opponents average 13.1.

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