Bengals vs. Patriots Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 1

Published 4:37 pm Saturday, September 7, 2024

On Sunday, Sept. 8 at 1:00 p.m. ET, the Cincinnati Bengals will face the New England Patriots at Paycor Stadium. Our computer model predicts that the Bengals will win — keep scrolling for more info, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

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The Bengals owned the 22nd-ranked offense last year (318.9 yards per game), and they were less effective on the other side of the ball, ranking second-worst with 374.6 yards allowed per game. While the Patriots ranked seventh in total defense with 301.6 yards allowed per game last season, they were a little worse on offense, ranking third-worst (276.2 yards per game).

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Bengals vs. Patriots Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Bengals (-7.5) Under (41) Bengals 27, Patriots 13

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Bengals Betting Info

  • The Bengals have an implied moneyline win probability of 80.0% in this contest.
  • Cincinnati covered seven times in 17 games with a spread last season.
  • Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total 10 times in Cincinnati games.
  • The point total average for Bengals games last season was 43.5, 2.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Patriots Betting Info

  • The Patriots have a 24.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • New England put together a 5-12-0 record against the spread last season.
  • The Patriots were an underdog by 7.5 points or more four times last season, and covered the spread in two of those matchups.
  • Last year, seven New England games hit the over.
  • The over/under for this game is 1.6 points higher than the average scoring total for Patriots games last season (39.4).

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Bengals vs. Patriots 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Bengals 21.5 22.6 23.7 19.1 19.1 26.5
Patriots 13.9 21.5 12.1 20.9 15.9 22.3

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